The Cost of Waiting For Home Prices to Fall

The Cost of Waiting

For Home Prices to Fall

 The are numerous people out there who want to buy a home, but are waiting for home prices to hit bottom. They want a guarantee that they are purchasing at the best possible price. In some markets, you may see a little more dropping of prices, especially in areas really hit by the foreclosure market (of which Massachusetts has one of the lower rates). But waiting may not be in your best financial interest. You should be concerned with the cost of buying a house, which is quite different from the price of a house.

The real cost of a house is made up of the price and the interest rate you will be paying.

The National Association of Realtors just reported that the average home price in the 4th quarter of 2010 rose .2%. In other words, price remained steady. A buyer who delayed a purchase might find solace in the fact that prices have not increased. However, the other news released the other day paints a different picture. Mortgage interest rates now average 5.05%, up from 4.17% from the middle of the last quarter.

By sitting on the sidelines for the last 90 days a purchaser lost:

    - $89.44 a month

    - $1,073.28 a year

    - $32,198.40 over the thirty year life of the mortgage

If you buy a $340,000 home, double all these numbers.

It also means that if you qualified for a $300,000 mortgage three months ago, today you would only qualify for a $272,000 mortgage.  The longer you wait, the less you will be able to afford if the interest rates keep rising. That means you either have to buy a home with less of the amenities you want or maybe located in a less desirable neighborhood, or you have to come up with a larger down payment.

Bottom Line

Even if prices fall another 10% this year, the cost of a home will increase if interest rates go up more than 1%. If you are in the market for a home, you should not worry about where prices are going. You should be more concerned about where the interest rates are going, and what the cost of buying a home will be later this year or in 2012.

Jim Armstrong

The chart and some of the details are from kmcblog.com. For more details, please go to:

http://kcmblog.com/2011/02/11/the-cost-of-waiting-for-prices-to-fall/

Owners and Renters Agree That Owning a Home is a Smart Decision

Washington, January 19, 2011

A substantial majority of both home owners and current renters agree that owning a home is a smart decision over the long term. That’s according to the results of a National Association of Realtors® survey of 3,793 adults conducted online by Harris Interactive.
The American Attitudes About Homeownership survey found that in today’s challenging economy, 95 percent of owners and 72 percent of renters believe that over a period of several years, it makes more sense to own a home. In addition, an overwhelming majority of home owners are happy with their decision to own a home – 93 percent of owners surveyed would buy again.
“Home owners and renters agree that home ownership benefits individuals and families, strengthens our communities, and is integral to our nation’s economy,” said National Association of Realtors® President Ron Phipps, broker-president of Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I. “The results of this survey illustrate just how important issues related to home ownership are to people in this country.” Read the rest of the article at:
http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/01/owning_home

SALES UP, PRICES DOWN
IN ESSEX COUNTY MASSACHUSETTS

December 2008 total home sales in Essex County increased by 4.9% over December 2007, led by the sale of multi-family homes which went up by 172%! The sale of bank owned properties drove down the price of multi unit buildings by 33% to an average of $184,800 driving investors and savvy, bargain-hunting home buyers to the closing table. The glut of foreclosed homes has pushed down prices, and distress sales now make up well over half the market in some towns such as Lynn and Lawrence. Other towns, including Newburyport, Marblehead, Danvers & Hamilton, have had relatively few foreclosures and therefore homes prices haven't dropped as sharply.

Single family sales were relatively flat over the same period, despite a 17% drop in prices over 2007. But that is actually good news for sellers of single family homes, which for the most part in 2008 experienced declining sales numbers. But toward the end of the year sales have been coming back. Could the lure of a $7500 first time homebuyer tax credit be tied to this rise?

The home buyers that we have talked to have not indicated that the tax credit was the driving force that made them step up to the home buying plate. What was the driving force was the lure of getting a bargain-priced home at the bottom, or near bottom, of the real esate market. The second motivating factor was the availability of mortgage money at rates below 6.0%.

Jim Armstrong
http://www.armstrongfield.com
978-394-6736