Home Affordability Offering Up 40-Year Deals

   Home affordability is at 1971 levels, due to falling home prices and record low mortgage rates, pushing home ownership in reach to more families, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Home owners are bringing in nearly double the median income they need to cover the cost of an average home, HousingPredictor reports.
 "With interest rates at historically low levels and markets across the country beginning to improve, home ownership is within reach of more households," Bob Nielsen, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders, said in a statement. 
    However, some consumers are finding more stringent lending standards for getting a mortgage a roadblock to home ownership.
http://realtytimes.com/159/JimArmstrong

Questions About Market Value of a Home

Question: Hi Jim, Why is this house priced almost $20,000 than it's assessed for? I know they bought it on 2005 for $350,000, but at today's market it seems unrealistic. It has no garage which would have to be built! I know this is not your listing, but do you know anthing else about it? It's been on the market since November 2011 and already has been reduced, but I believe it is not enough of a reduction. Thanks so much. - Kathy
In reference to the follow property: http://www.afhomesearch.com/properties/Danvers/Wadsworth-St/2850427

 Answer: Kathy,

The assessed value of a home has no relationship to the market value of a homes. The way the town determines assessed value differs from the way a Realtor or an appraiser determines value because it is done for tax purposes. Plus, assessments are usually 2 years behind market value, and many times don't include any recent upgrades.

This particular home is actually under agreement, but they are continuing to show it for back up offers. It is a short sale, which means they are selling it for less than what the seller owes to the mortgage holder. According to public records, the seller still owes more than $300,000 to the lender. There no way of knowing what the current offer is on the property, but it is property close to the current list price.

No, it doesn't have a garage, but that doesn't matter to many people. It is in a nice neighborhood, has a good size lot, and has no neighbors in back of the property, so it is a desirable home. It is also in very good condition and shows very well, which many buyers are willing to pay a little more for. The inventory of available single family homes on the North Shore is actually quite low right now, partially due to the time of year, but also because the market is very busy. This is keeping home prices stable, and in some areas we are even seeing slight increases in value. Danvers, MA only saw a 1.45% drop in home prices in 2011, and most of that happened at the beginning of the year. Towards the end of the year the prices were starting to edge up.

I am always available to answer any questions you might have. It doesn't matter if I am the listing agent or not. Let me know if you would like to see any home on the market.

Thanks.

Jim Armstrong
Broker/President
Armstrong Field Real Estate
Mobile 978-394-6736

Boston among cities set for a real estate rebound

The New England hub has a low 5.7 percent unemployment rate thanks to the presence of more than 100 universities and colleges in the metro area and a variety of biotech and financial services companies. “Income is well above average. The housing boom was mild, with a 16 percent rise in prices followed by a 10 percent drop. The recession also was mild, with jobs down just 2 percent,” explains Winzer. Clear Capital and Trulia also have positive forecasts for Beantown this year

See the entire article at: San Jose, Boston among cities set for a real estate rebound

The North Shore Massachusetts Real Estate Market in 2012

Where is real estate going in 2012?

I know everyone gets confused by all the real estate news that you read about almost every day with each report contradicting the other. Each author usually has an ultimate agenda when writing an article. Those who make their living in real estate try to paint a good (or not so bad) picture of the market because they want to encourage people to buy or sell a home. On the other hand the typical reporter working for a newspaper wants to attract viewers to his/her article, and nothing does that better than doom and gloom - bubble bursting, rising foreclosures, etc. When reading these articles, if you are interested in what is happening with your north shore home's value, or want to know if now is a good time to buy in Massachusetts, then ignore all the national statistics. What is happening in Nevada, Michigan or Florida has almost no bearing on the local market here in Massachusetts.
Trulia.com, a leading internet real estate company, has come out with its top five places slated for a quicker recovery. They are Austin, Houston, San Jose, Boston, and Rochester, NY.  The Boston area is home to the technology belt with lots of smart, well-educated people.  Highly educated, tech-savvy cities tend to push through the recovery quicker than other parts of the country. 2011 brought a stabilization of prices on the north shore, with the average home selling for $386,251, statistically insignificant from the average of $390,794 in 2010. Even though I predict it will be a robust year, watch for stable prices in 2012 as more foreclosures coming on the market, holding down any valuation increases.

Right now we currently have 5.7 months supply of single family homes on the market. A normal market is considered to have 5 to 6 months worth of inventory, so we are approaching something close to "normality". The average days on market (DOM) for sold single family homes last year was 137 days. I would like to see the days on market below 125 before I feel we are back to a normal market. During the last few years the DOM has been between 125 and 140, while during the "Home Rush" of 2000-2005 it was just 71 to 93 days. Back 15 years ago in 1997, which was what could be could a "normal" year, the average DOM was 102 days.

The total number of homes sold, down slightly last year over 2010, will increase as interest rates stay at record lows, unemployment continues to drop and job security increases, and home affordability remains the highest in decades. Buyers will step off the sidelines and into home ownership as consumer confidence returns and realize that owning is now less expensive than renting on the north shore of Massachusetts. 

Jim Armstrong

Broker/President

Armstrong Field Real Estate

But MY House is Worth Much More Than That!

This weekend, on New Years eve, I place an offer on behalf of one of my buyer clients on a property in Lynn. This home is a 3 family in a nice area and has a good size double lot. It also has new heating systems, a newer (7 years old) roof and a garage. The kitchens and baths are outdated, however, and there is quite a bit of cosmetic work that needs to be done in all three units. The 2nd and 3rd floor units also share a heating system and a hot water heater.


 This home is listed in the low $300,000's. I looked up what sold within the last 6 months in Lynn for 3 family homes. There were only 3 sales in Lynn that went just above $300,000 - and those were properties that were completely rehabbed with new kitchens & baths. The average 3 family sold for just over $220,000. Now there are many factors that go into determining the market value of a home, so you can't just take the average price and think that this is what the property is worth. After looking at similar properties, I determined that $280,000 was a fair price to offer to the seller. In fact, there had been only 5 three family homes in Lynn that had sold for more. I submitted my buyers' offer along with an explanation to the seller of how we derived at that price, and a list of all three family homes that had sold showing that his asking price was too high.

The seller rejected the offer without even giving us a counter-offer. The listing agent said the the seller wanted to get a offer very close to his asking price. He didn't care what the reality of the market was, and that he had put a lot of work in the house and it was worth much more than what the statistics showed. Needless to say my buyers were put off by this, and didn't want to submit another offer.

Before this property was listed, the seller's agent showed him all the comparable properties, the market stats, and the properties that were currently listed that would be competing for the same buyers. He chose to ignore all that information and the advice of the professional that he hired, and came up with his own list price.

It will be interesting for me to watch this listing, because if it is follows the usual pattern of overpriced listings this property will have its list price drop until it reaches a point where it is in line with (or below) the market. The multifamily market is hot right now, and if a property is priced right it sells in a matter of days. If it is not priced right, it will just sit on the market for months. This particular property had just come on the market last week, and had it been priced right it would have had several showings. My buyers were the only ones to look at it, and that was because the property suited what they were looking for, even if it was overpriced.

I will probably receive a call from the listing agent in the near future asking me if my buyers are still interested in home because they hadn't received any other offers. Unfortunately for the seller, my buyers will probably have already purchased another home.

- Jim Armstrong
Here is a good article on overpricing a home:
http://www.forbes.com/2002/11/22/cx_bs_1122home.html

Barter Your Goods and Services For Marketing and Selling Your Home

Armstrong Field Real Estate is now a member of New England Trade - a business bartering group that serves New England with affiliations across the United States. What does that mean for you? If you own a business, and want to sell your home or business, we will represent you and market your Massachusetts home (or business) for no cash out of your pocket! You trade your services or goods for it. Now many of us already do some private bartering with other business owners. But if you are an electrician who does a $1,000 job for someone that owns a dog grooming business, well, you probably don't need $1,000 work of dog shampooing and styling. What happens with New England Trade is the $1000 gets credited to your account, which you can then spend with any of their other members - and there are literally thousands of different products and services available. See a sampling here: http://www.newenglandtrade.com/what-can-i-buy/goods-and-services.aspx

What are some the advantages of bartering through a trade group?

• You will receive new customers who would not normally do business with you. New England Trade members tend to travel longer distances then your regular customers because they would rather pay in trade credits.
• You can buy things that you need for your business - office equipment and service, printing, advertising, bookkeeping, web design, etc. on trade, and save your cash for the utility bills and rent.
• Increase your inventory turnover of billing hours.
• Fill up your slow times with business you normally wouldn't receive.
• Barter credits can be used regionally and nationally.
• Take a vacation on Trade (I've been on a cruise to Bermuda and a trip to Jamaica on trade with a previous business)

There are many more advantages. So if you own a business of any kind, and you want to sell your home, call me and I will explain how it works. If you don't want to sell your Massachusetts home or business (at least not now), but would like more information on joining this trade group, contact Tammy Penny at New England Trade at 781-388-9200.

Jim Armstrong
Broker/President
Armstrong Field Inc.

Cell 978-394-6736

Office 978-740-8700

Homes Sell Better in the Winter?

RedFin Corporation, a Seattle based real estate company, released some statistics on selling a home in the winter versus other times of the year. The data is from approximately 750,000 homes sold over a year across the country, and then analyzed by season. Here are the basics:

• Homes listed in the winter sell faster compared to the summer: 46 days versus 55 days.
• Homes listed in the winter are more likely to sell at all: 59.2% versus 53.1%
• Homes listed in the winter sell closer to their original list price: a drop of 2.7% in winter versus a 5.2% drop in the summer, which is more than $7,000 on a $300,000 home.

Surprised? Most people would be. But the fact is, there are less homes on the market, which means less competition for qualified home buyers. There are less home buyers in the winter, also, but the ones that are looking are the really serious buyers and not just the lookers and nosey neighbors, who we don't want anyway.

The time of year where a home sells the fastest is still the spring, spending 15% less time on the market than the median for the entire year. Winter takes second place in this category, though (over summer and fall), selling 6% faster than the median.

I'm not guaranteeing that your home will sell quicker and for more money than other times of the year... or even at all. There are too many other factors and variables that come into play to make an across-the-board statement like that. What I am saying is that in most cases, winter is NOT a bad time to list and sell your property, and if you want to sell - don't wait until spring!

- Jim Armstrong
Want to talk? Call me at 978-394-6736
Armstrong Field Real Estate

http://blog.redfin.com/boston/2011/12/should_i_wait_until_spring_to_list_my_home_-_boston_edition.html

Real Estate Facts & Figures

Below are some facts and figures about the current real estate market, and what people think about it.

• 81% of Americans view real estate as a good investment
• 78% of Americans feel that housing prices will hold steady or increase over the next 12 months.
• It is cheaper to buy/own a home than to rent in 80% of the major markets in the US.
• 25% of young Americans plan to buy a home in the next two years.
• 95% of homeowners are happy they decided to buy a home.
• First time home buyers comprise 35% of the total home sales.
• 67% of first-time home buyers said that the real estate market conditions gave them the opportunity to purchase a home sooner than expected.
• 50% of buyers found a home in a better neighborhood than expected.
• 61% purchased their home at a price better than expected.
• 43% received a mortgage interest rate better than expected.
• 69% of Americans say that now is the best time to buy a home
• 88% of people search for homes on the internet, and 40% found the home they eventually purchased on the internet.
• 87% used a real estate agent to buy a home.
• For Sale by Owner homes reach a record low, only accounting for 6% of total sales.
• The average home seller was in their home for 9 years, and had 16% increase in equity when they sold it.
• The median age of a first-time home buyer was 31. The median age of a home seller was 53
• 60% of first-time home buyers bought because they "just wanted a home of their own".
• The median down payment for first-time home buyers was 5%.

This information was compiled from two surveys, including one just released by the National Association of Realtors.